Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 96.001657 106.161866 116.520245 127.845512 139.854403 152.184515 165.776971
2025-12-28 80.965996 96.184413 112.380517 130.792305 151.036412 172.516870 196.932200
2026-01-04 68.512738 87.223831 107.959736 132.376387 160.080873 190.297727 225.505667
2026-01-11 59.503043 80.872138 105.454951 135.318356 170.128153 208.972851 255.151331
2026-01-18 51.953533 75.233886 102.980925 137.663142 179.066895 226.191566 283.171442
2026-01-25 42.074983 65.578801 94.738610 132.338393 178.374303 231.850939 297.630165
2026-02-01 34.903311 58.490885 88.904379 129.265512 179.816523 239.597268 314.223505
2026-02-08 29.712263 53.402642 85.078087 128.228118 183.368303 249.594009 333.311168
2026-02-15 26.166778 50.171660 83.336256 129.559120 189.646260 262.755748 356.138822
2026-02-22 24.149148 48.915312 84.076074 133.994971 199.773668 280.623167 384.723288
2026-03-01 21.644644 46.614890 83.138128 136.023744 206.709924 294.505966 408.480932
2026-03-08 18.695737 43.246360 80.395657 135.374153 210.000447 303.734652 426.479027
2026-03-15 16.717073 41.291637 79.626173 137.447482 216.974815 317.813265 450.820837
2026-03-22 15.467979 40.446423 80.432040 141.702131 226.885128 335.721468 480.113220
2026-03-29 13.902463 38.834326 79.933795 144.020104 234.171076 350.306746 505.342392
2026-04-05 12.746102 37.827673 80.276992 147.488866 243.000118 366.909415 533.196284
2026-04-12 11.549835 36.579121 80.126890 150.169204 250.728901 382.110355 559.352002
2026-04-19 9.048612 32.250414 74.630665 144.645245 246.905322 382.073089 565.995450
2026-04-26 7.285032 29.116771 70.842343 141.450023 246.139116 385.915773 577.510363
2026-05-03 6.062563 26.955905 68.539668 140.383093 248.271269 393.536552 593.870750
2026-05-10 5.302942 25.775570 67.877862 141.811603 253.937331 405.882394 616.399347
2026-05-17 4.996204 25.734673 69.278392 146.521024 264.375410 424.711174 647.477182
2026-05-24 4.439300 24.887549 69.110472 148.674946 271.091144 438.532788 672.065634